Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 34.93%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (13.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.