Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albion Rovers would win this match.
