Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Queen of the South

Arbroath
1 - 1
QotS

Dow (77')
Stewart (54'), O'Brien (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lyon (43')
Bryden (3'), Lussint (67')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 3-0 Arbroath
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawQueen of the South
52.39% (0.63 0.63)24.65% (-0.354 -0.35)22.96% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.749 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (1.148 1.15)51.12% (-1.14 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.998 1)72.97% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (0.70599999999999 0.71)19.48% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (1.138 1.14)51.35% (-1.13 -1.13)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97% (0.386 0.39)37.03% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (0.381 0.38)73.82% (-0.374 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 52.39%
    Queen of the South 22.96%
    Draw 24.65%
ArbroathDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.156 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.96%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
QotS
0-3
Arbroath

Cochrane (24'), Dickenson (35'), Douglas (45+2'), Doherty (73')
Stewart (14'), Taylor (22'), Douglas (26' og.)
Spalding (63'), Penman (90+4')
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Arbroath
2-1
QotS
Murray (76'), Gallagher (90+1')
Taylor (31'), Stewart (90+7')
Douglas (72')
Douglas (26')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
QotS
2-1
Arbroath
McKechnie (6'), Lyon (48')
Douglas (69'), Doherty (90+3'), Johnstone (90+5')
Flynn (10')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
QotS
1-2
Arbroath
Doherty (12')
McKay (60')
Bird (54'), McKenna (90')
McKenna (48'), Dunnwald (71')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Arbroath
5-1
QotS
Hamilton (25'), Hamilton (37', 59'), Cameron (54' og.), Craigen (90')
Hamilton (22'), O'Brien (73')
Roy (12')