

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 40.32% | 27.8% | 31.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% | 58.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% | 28.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.14% | 63.86% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.86% | 70.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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