Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Talleres

Sabino (26', 26'), Luciano (84', 84')
Sabino (6'), Sabino (6'), Luciano (90+9'), Luciano (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Girotti (39', 39')
Navarro (25'), Navarro (25'), Girotti (49'), Girotti (49'), Carlos Portillo (90+9'), Carlos Portillo (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Talleres, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawTalleres
45.77% (-4.638 -4.64)26.6% (0.742 0.74)27.62% (3.894 3.89)
Both teams to score 49.19% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.133 -0.13)55.2% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.107 -0.11)76.44% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-2.17 -2.17)24.06% (2.167 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-3.192 -3.19)58.34% (3.191 3.19)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (3.291 3.29)35.22% (-3.294 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (3.288 3.29)71.98% (-3.289 -3.29)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 45.77%
    Talleres 27.62%
    Draw 26.6%
Sao PauloDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-1.129 -1.13)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.439 -0.44)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.843 -0.84)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.77%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.799 0.8)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.743 0.74)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.776 0.78)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.384 0.38)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 27.62%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Talleres

Sao Paulo
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Talleres
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Talleres
0-1
Sao Paulo

Depietri (27'), Fernandez (82'), Portilla (89')
Alisson (76')
Arboleda (70'), Alisson (79'), Soares (89')
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Sao Paulo
2-0
Talleres
Moura (45+4' pen.), Luciano (90')
Welington (4'), Calleri (64'), Vinicius (90+2')

Barticciotto (13'), Suarez (45+7'), Portilla (56'), Carlos Portillo (90+2')
Navarro (90+3')
Apr 5, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Talleres
2-1
Sao Paulo
Ruiz (45+6'), Botta (53')
Benavidez (33'), Portilla (67'), Portillo (72'), Bustos (90')
Luciano (66')
Rafinha (2'), Luciano (72')
Feb 13, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Sao Paulo
0-0
Talleres
Peres (16'), Everton (37'), Hernanes (76')
Everton (80')
Herrera (67'), Diaz (74')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Talleres
2-0
Sao Paulo
Ramirez (58'), Pochettino (87')
Cubas (77'), Diaz (79')

Pablo (17'), Hernanes (45'), Hudson (62')
Hudson (81')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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