MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 24, 2025 at 9.45pm UK
 
LA Galaxy

San Diego
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

de la Torre (41'), Lozano (90+5')
Lozano (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fagundez (40')
Cerrillo (37'), Pec (45+3'), Yamane (62'), Reus (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: San Diego 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles
Monday, May 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Diego in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Diego.

Result
San DiegoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.82% (-0.781 -0.78)21.52% (0.132 0.13)20.66% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 57.72% (0.614 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.309 0.31)40.27% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (0.318 0.32)62.65% (-0.317 -0.32)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)13.7% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)40.94% (0.273 0.27)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.816 0.82)33.11% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (0.891 0.89)69.71% (-0.889 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 57.82%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.66%
    Draw 21.52%
San DiegoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 57.82%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.137 0.14)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: San Diego vs LA Galaxy

San Diego
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2025 12am
LA Galaxy
0-2
San Diego
Dreyer (52', 90+3')
Godoy (45'), Negri (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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