MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 3.30am UK
 
Colorado Rapids

San Diego
2 - 0
Colorado

McVey (33', 33'), Dreyer (58', 58')
Tverskov (6'), Tverskov (6'), Kumado (66'), Kumado (66'), Dreyer (85'), Dreyer (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yapi (25'), Yapi (25'), Cabral (65'), Cabral (65'), Ku-Dipietro (77'), Ku-Dipietro (77'), Harris (83'), Harris (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between San Diego and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 San Diego
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.21%) and 1-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.

Result
San DiegoDrawColorado Rapids
54.62% (0.204 0.2)21.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.21% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 64.06% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.81% (-0.188 -0.19)34.19% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.92% (-0.211 -0.21)56.07% (0.207 0.21)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.81%
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.255 -0.25)26.66% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.336 -0.34)61.91% (0.331 0.33)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 54.62%
    Colorado Rapids 24.21%
    Draw 21.17%
San DiegoDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: San Diego vs Colorado

San Diego
100%
Draw
0.0%
Colorado Rapids
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 2.30am
Colorado
3-2
San Diego
Mihailovic (37' pen.), Yapi (53'), Navarro (60')
Awaziem (90+1')
De la Torre (49'), Angel (89')