Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
Queen's Park6 - 2East Kilbride
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Queen's Park and East Kilbride.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Morton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-2 Ayr
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Falkirk | 39 | 1.86 | Miller |
| 2 | Ayr | 36 | 1.64 | Oakley |
| 3 | Livingston | 30 | 1.36 | May |
| 4 | Hamilton | 27 | 1.35 | Shaw |
| 5 | Partick | 27 | 1.23 | Graham |
| 6 | Queen's Park | 24 | 1.09 | Rudden |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 21 | 0.95 | Kane |
| 8 | Morton | 19 | 0.95 | Stuparevic |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 0.95 | Easton |
| 10 | Airdrieonians | 14 | 0.67 | Mochrie |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | East Kilbride |
54.95% ( -1.15) | 22.02% ( 0.38) | 23.04% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
