MX23RW : Wednesday, August 14 22:01:05| >> :60:910:910:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park

East Stirling
2 - 2
East Kilbride

Spence (18'), Penker (55')
FT
(aet)
Elliott (43'), Spence (47')
McDonald (61')
Daramola (30')
East Kilbride win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between East Stirlingshire and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell U21s 0-0 East Stirling (7-8 pen.)
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-0 Celtic Res.
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee Under-21s win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 2-3 (5.07%). The likeliest Dundee United Reserves win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Dundee United ReservesDrawDundee Under-21s
37.9% (25.452 25.45) 20.5% (5.429 5.43) 41.6% (-30.886 -30.89)
Both teams to score 75.48% (12.021 12.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.12% (1.823 1.82)22.87% (-1.829 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.9% (2.436 2.44)42.09% (-2.441 -2.44)
Dundee United Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (18.749 18.75)13.75% (-18.755 -18.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (27.995 28)41.03% (-28.002 -28)
Dundee Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-6.505 -6.51)12.48% (6.499 6.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (-15.629 -15.63)38.46% (15.624 15.62)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United Reserves 37.9%
    Dundee Under-21s 41.6%
    Draw 20.5%
Dundee United ReservesDrawDundee Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.03% (3.571 3.57)
3-2 @ 4.84% (3.014 3.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (3.354 3.35)
1-0 @ 3.41% (1.22 1.22)
2-0 @ 3.38% (2.151 2.15)
4-2 @ 2.4% (1.887 1.89)
4-1 @ 2.31% (1.943 1.94)
3-0 @ 2.24% (1.775 1.78)
4-3 @ 1.66% (1.183 1.18)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.979 0.98)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.837 0.84)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.833 0.83)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.9%
2-2 @ 7.31% (2.444 2.44)
1-1 @ 7.09% (0.931 0.93)
3-3 @ 3.36% (1.642 1.64)
0-0 @ 1.72% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-1.295 -1.3)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-3.023 -3.02)
2-3 @ 5.07% (0.501 0.5)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-3.996 -4)
0-1 @ 3.57% (-1.906 -1.91)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-3.068 -3.07)
2-4 @ 2.64% (-0.58 -0.58)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-4.663 -4.66)
3-4 @ 1.75% (0.539 0.54)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-3.756 -3.76)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-2.119 -2.12)
2-5 @ 1.1% (-0.715 -0.72)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 41.6%

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