MX23RW : Wednesday, August 14 23:11:21| >> :600:95267:95267:
Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 0
The Strongest

Fernandez (9'), Silvera (16'), Baez (36')
Darias (27')
LIVE
54'

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and The Strongest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Penarol (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Gremio 4-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We say: Penarol 2-0 The Strongest

Having scored at least two goals at home in the group stage, Penarol will hope to continue that run against one of the worst travellers among the qualified teams, keen to go into next week's reverse fixture in La Paz with a positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for The Strongest has a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.22%), while for a The Strongest win it is 0-1 (8.03%).

Result
PenarolDrawThe Strongest
49.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.77%24.76% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.013000000000002 0.01)75.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17%21.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)55.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03)36.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)73.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 49.46%
    The Strongest 24.76%
    Draw 25.77%
PenarolDrawThe Strongest
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.76%

How you voted: Penarol vs The Strongest

Penarol
95.7%
Draw
4.3%
The Strongest
0.0%
23
Head to Head
May 17, 2018 11.15pm
-
Penarol
2-0
The Strongest
Palacios (20'), Rodriguez (37' pen.)
Martinez (56')
Martinez (66')

Ballivian (27'), Jara (57')
Mar 15, 2018 10.15pm
-
The Strongest
1-0
Penarol
Carcelen (20')
Carcelen (53'), Campos (72'), Martelli (94')

Palacios (13'), Rojo (32'), Maldonado (53')
rhs 2.0
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