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Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Molde logo

Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Molde

Kader Ouattara (41')
Nazinho (44'), Somers (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oyvann (26'), Wolff Eikrem (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Cercle Brugge and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

Molde

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Molde had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawMolde
42.29% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)24.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)33.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)20.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.97% (0.012 0.01)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.037999999999997 0.04)59.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 42.29%
    Molde 33.4%
    Draw 24.3%
Cercle BruggeDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.4%

How you voted: Cercle Brugge vs Molde

Cercle Brugge
39.6%
Draw
13.2%
Molde
47.2%
53
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 6pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Molde
3-0
Cercle Brugge
Eriksen (3'), Wolff Eikrem (18'), Linnes (30')
Breivik (55'), Lund Jensen (79')

Nazinho (61'), Daland (75')
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