Molde logo
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Cercle Brugge

Eriksen (3'), Wolff Eikrem (18'), Linnes (30')
Breivik (55'), Lund Jensen (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Nazinho (61'), Daland (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Cercle Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Silkeborg 3-2 Molde
Thursday, August 1 at 6.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawCercle Brugge
56.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08)21.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)22.34% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.8% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (0.131 0.13)37.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.14 0.14)59.59% (-0.136 -0.14)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (0.069000000000003 0.07)13.21% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.04% (0.137 0.14)39.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (0.037000000000006 0.04)29.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.045000000000002 0.05)66.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Molde 56.29%
    Cercle Brugge 22.34%
    Draw 21.37%
MoldeDrawCercle Brugge
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 56.29%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.37%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Molde vs Cercle Brugge

Molde
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Cercle Brugge
6.7%
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