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Europa League

Lincoln Red Imps
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 1
Dinamo Minsk

De Barr (30'), Pigas (78' og.)
Oliver (51'), Ayew (64'), Bent (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alfred (54')
Shkolik (19'), Sedko (64'), Adeola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Dinamo Minsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln Red Imps

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Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League
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Dinamo Minsk

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawDinamo Minsk
34.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.55% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)39.2% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.16% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)52.71% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.075999999999997 0.08)74.35% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.075999999999993 0.08)26.31% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.101 0.1)61.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 34.25%
    Dinamo Minsk 39.19%
    Draw 26.54%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawDinamo Minsk
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Dinamo Minsk

Lincoln Red Imps
10.2%
Draw
6.8%
Dinamo Minsk
83.1%
59
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7.45pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Dinamo Minsk
2-0
Lincoln
Gavrilovich (36'), Igor de Sousa Carneiro Martins (87')
Pigas (26'), Alfred (49'), Rai (55')

Ayew (14'), Torilla (43')
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