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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Lincoln Red Imps

Hamrun Spartans
0 - 1
Lincoln


Emerson (33'), Borg (71'), Montebello (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Britto (37')
Gomez (24'), De Barr (45+2'), Ayew (63'), Santana (74'), Bent (90+5')
Gomez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Hamrun Spartans and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

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Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Lincoln Red Imps

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Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Hamrun SpartansDrawLincoln Red Imps
43.67% (0.017000000000003 0.02)26.21% (0.050999999999998 0.05)30.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (-0.238 -0.24)52.5% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83% (-0.206 -0.21)74.17% (0.208 0.21)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)23.9% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (-0.139 -0.14)58.1% (0.141 0.14)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.172 -0.17)31.9% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (-0.198 -0.2)68.35% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hamrun Spartans 43.66%
    Lincoln Red Imps 30.12%
    Draw 26.21%
Hamrun SpartansDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.12%

How you voted: Hamrun Spartans vs Lincoln

Hamrun Spartans
72.0%
Draw
12.0%
Lincoln Red Imps
16.0%
50
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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