Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 30, 2024 at 5pm UK

Tofik Bakhramov

Qarabag
5 - 0
Lincoln

(Qarabag FK win 7-0 on aggregate)

Juninho (17', 31', 44'), Benzia (66'), Andrade (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Casciaro (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
58.19% ( -0)	21.69% ( 0)	20.11% ( 0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Qarabag FK	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.19%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.11%