MX23RW : Wednesday, August 14 23:17:20| >> :60:45:45:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Fortaleza

Rosario
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Sandez (6')
Mallo (44'), Quintana (45+4')
LIVE
56'
Marinho (2')
Britez (36'), Rossetto (43'), Cardona (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Rosario Central and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Criciuma
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We say: Rosario Central 1-1 Fortaleza

Rosario experienced a significant dip in form over the last few months but they have shown improvement under caretaker manager Matias Lequi, who is yet to taste defeat in his new role. However, Fortaleza have been rock solid for the majority of this season, both domestically and in this competition, and we feel they will keep this tie level heading into their home leg next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw has a probability of 29.4% and a win for Fortaleza has a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Fortaleza win it is 0-1 (10.91%).

Result
Rosario CentralDrawFortaleza
43.07% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 29.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.58% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.48% (0.101 0.1)64.52% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.45% (0.071000000000002 0.07)83.55% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)29.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.038999999999994 0.04)65.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (0.112 0.11)40.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (0.099999999999998 0.1)77.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.06%
    Fortaleza 27.57%
    Draw 29.35%
Rosario CentralDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 27.57%

How you voted: Rosario vs Fortaleza

Rosario Central
15.4%
Draw
53.8%
Fortaleza
30.8%
13
rhs 2.0
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