Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Umm Salal had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 0-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Umm Salal win it was 2-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.