Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.