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[monks data]
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36
Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
PPL Park
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia
3 - 0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Santos (66')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Philadelphia Union welcome defending champions Columbus Crew to Subaru Park on Sunday in search of a third consecutive victory on home turf.

On the other hand, the away side make the journey to Chester aiming to record a first MLS victory on the road in seven outings since July.


Match preview

Columbus Crew head coach Caleb Porter directs his team in the first half against Atlanta United at Lower.com Field on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Columbus Crew made it three home league wins in a row following a hard-fought 2-1 triumph over CF Montreal at the Lower.com Field on Sunday.

Caleb Porter's men took a two-goal lead thanks to goals from American forward Gyasi Zardes, before hanging on to secure all three points despite Romell Quioto's late consolation strike.

The Crew have moved up into 10th place in the Eastern Conference standings, five points off the last playoff spot albeit having played a game more.

Next up for them is a trip to a ground where they have failed to emerge victorious on any of their last seven visits since claiming a 3-2 win back in 2014.

Sunday's visitors, who have scored the third-fewest number of goals away from home this term, will need to get going at the attacking to stand any chance of coming out on top.

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin walks onto the field before match against the New England Revolution on May 12, 2021© Reuters

Off the back of two home wins on the trot, Philadelphia Union were held to a 1-1 draw by New York Red Bulls at the Red Bull Arena on Tuesday.

Jim Curtin's men opened the scoring in the 17th minute through Sergio Santos but were pegged back before the half-time whistle thanks to Omir Fernandez's leveller.

The Union are still hanging on to the last playoff spot in the east but currently have two games in hand on nearest challengers Atlanta United.

No team in the entire conference has let in fewer goals on home turf than Sunday's hosts, who will be confident of keeping their visitors at bay.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Columbus Crew Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Columbus Crew form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Philadelphia Union midfielder Quinn Sullivan celebrates his goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Columbus' trio of Perry Kitchen, Kevin Molino and Aidan Morris are currently sidelined with knee injuries and will play no part in the game.

The away side will also be without the services of 25-year-old Artur and Eloy Room who miss out through hernia and groin injuries respectively.

Cory Burke and Ilson are Philadelphia's only injury concerns ahead of the match as the former is down with an ankle problem, while the latter is yet to recuperate from a groin injury.

Jamiro Monteiro netted the winner in the last meeting between Sunday's opponents back in June, and he will be looking to come up trumps once again.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Wagner, Elliot, Glesnes, Mbaizo; Flach, Martinez, Bedoya, Monteiro; Santos, Przybylko

Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Bush; Valenzuela, Williams, Mensah, Afful; Fraser, Hairston, Nagbe; Junior, Zardes, Santos


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Columbus Crew

Philadelphia have little margin for error in their quest for a place in the postseason as the regular season enters into its final knockings. They will fancy themselves to see off the challenge of a side who have struggled away from home all-season long, and we are backing them to secure all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Columbus Crew
10.0%
10
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New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati31198453351865
2Orlando City31159749371254
3New England RevolutionNew England301410651371452
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31149853371651
5Columbus Crew31148962431950
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta311310861471449
7Nashville SCNashville3012993628845
8New York City FCNY City32814103437-338
9DC United32910134346-337
10Chicago Fire31910123547-1237
11CF MontrealMontreal31114163048-1837
12New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31810133038-834
13Inter MiamiInter Miami3096153846-833
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30712113750-1333
15Toronto31410172651-2522

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City321751062402256
2Seattle SoundersSeattle31121093731646
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30129944341045
4Houston DynamoHouston31128114235744
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver311110105147443
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30127114245-343
7Portland TimbersPortland321110114451-743
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes321012103741-442
9Dallas311011103534141
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31911113941-238
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas32108144248-638
12Austin FCAustin3198144350-735
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30811114554-935
14Colorado RapidsColorado31511152447-2326

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