Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Quarter-finals | 1st Leg

May 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Energy Check Stadium

Partick
0 - 1
Ayr

(Partick Thistle win 2-1 on aggregate)

Fitzpatrick (7'), Turner (24'), Graham (45+4'), Graham (45+4'), Crawford (45'), O'Reilly (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murphy (55')
Oakley (19'), Agbaire (78'), Henderson (90+2'), Clarke (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Premiership Playoffs Play-offs - Quarter-finals clash between Partick Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Partick
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-1 Ayr
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Partick Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
32.61% ( -0.02)	26.63% ( -0.01)	40.76% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

0.02)

53.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

0.02)

74.88% (

-0.02)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41% (

-0)

30.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

-0.01)

66.83% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

0.03)

25.75% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

0.04)

60.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Partick Thistle 32.61%

Ayr United 40.75%

Draw 26.62%

Partick Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.61%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.75%