Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.