Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.