Alfreton Town 1-4 Kidderminster Harriers - National League North - November 20, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League North | Gameweek 15

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

North Street

Alfreton

1 - 4

Kidderminster

Branson (43')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Austin (9', 36'), Sterling-James (40'), Morgan-Smith (53')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Kidderminster Harriers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
35.1%	25.19%	39.71%

Both teams to score 56.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31%

46.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05%

68.95%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24%

60.76%

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.25%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 35.1%

Kidderminster Harriers 39.71%

Draw 25.18%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.1%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.71%