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World Cup

Malta national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Lithuania national football team

Malta
0 - 0
Lithuania


Mbong (24'), Camenzuli (89'), Guillaumier (90+5')
FT

Kazukolovas (17'), Tutyskinas (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup qualifier between Malta and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Malta
Monday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Lithuania

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Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Finland
Monday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malta win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Lithuania has a probability of 29.51% and a draw has a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lithuania win is 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
MaltaDrawLithuania
42.08% (-1.706 -1.71)28.4% (-0.801 -0.8)29.51% (2.504 2.5)
Both teams to score 45.21% (3.338 3.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21% (3.51 3.51)60.78% (-3.514 -3.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16% (2.56 2.56)80.83% (-2.565 -2.57)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (0.774 0.77)28.52% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (0.963 0.96)64.3% (-0.967 -0.97)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (4.026 4.03)36.74% (-4.03 -4.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (3.816 3.82)73.53% (-3.82 -3.82)
Score Analysis
    Malta 42.08%
    Lithuania 29.51%
    Draw 28.4%
MaltaDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 13.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.755 -0.75)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.48% (-1.46 -1.46)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.51 0.51)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.688 0.69)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.445 0.45)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.434 0.43)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.315 0.32)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.296 0.3)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 29.51%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Malta
1-1
Lithuania
Agius (23')
Slivka (53')
Oct 11, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Lithuania
2-0
Malta
Novikovas (84' pen.), Cernych (76')