Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
