Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 23, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 0
Montpellier

Bouchouari (47')
Davitashvili (57'), Boakye (62'), Bouchouari (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chotard (28'), Nzingoula (34'), Tchato (41'), Sylla (56'), Al Tamari (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 St Etienne
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Montpellier HSC
48.58% ( -0.31)	23.73% ( -0.01)	27.69% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 58.37% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

0.28)

43.2% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

0.27)

65.6% (

-0.27)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

-0.01)

17.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.26% (

-0.02)

48.74% (

0.03)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.38)

28.88% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

0.46)

64.74% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 48.58%

Montpellier HSC 27.69%

Draw 23.73%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.69%