Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.
