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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
vs.
Aston Villa

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 30.78% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
45.65% (-4.281 -4.28) 23.57% (0.293 0.29) 30.78% (3.991 3.99)
Both teams to score 61.06% (1.89 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (1.22 1.22)40.57% (-1.217 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (1.241 1.24)62.96% (-1.238 -1.24)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-1.176 -1.18)18.06% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-2.058 -2.06)48.97% (2.06 2.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (3.331 3.33)25.47% (-3.327 -3.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (4.345 4.35)60.31% (-4.342 -4.34)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.65%
    Aston Villa 30.78%
    Draw 23.56%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.956 -0.96)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.719 -0.72)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.662 0.66)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.239 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.536 0.54)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.577 0.58)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.399 0.4)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.398 0.4)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.283 0.28)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.78%

Who will win Wednesday's Premier League clash between Brighton and Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion
Draw
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Aston Villa
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Watkins (36' pen.), Rogers (47')
Rogers (38'), Mings (45+3')
Adingra (12'), Lamptey (81')
Hurzeler (37'), Ayari (45+7'), Balepa (72'), Julio (90+2')
May 5, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-0
Aston Villa
Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')

Cash (90+9')
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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