Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 29.01% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.69%).
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
| 29.01% ( | 24.76% ( | 46.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( | 46.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( | 69.18% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( | 29.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.08% ( | 65.92% ( |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( | 20.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.22% ( | 52.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 29 |
| 3 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Brentford | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Everton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 | Southampton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 9 |
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