The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We say: AC Milan 1-0 Atalanta BC
Though it ultimately finished 3-2 to Milan in October's reverse fixture - after Atalanta pulled two late goals back to give the scoreline a hint of respectability - this time around, the high stakes could make it a much tighter affair. Indeed, even a single strike could decide the destiny of the points, and the sense of self-belief forged by recent comebacks can help the Rossoneri edge out La Dea and inch closer to the title.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 27.52% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
46.74% ( -0.09) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
