Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 26.37% | 27.65% | 45.98% |
| Both teams to score 45.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.04% | 79.95% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% | 38.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.57% | 75.43% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.05% | 60.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 13.54% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-3 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.39% 1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
| 7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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