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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
54.51% | 23.33% | 22.17% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% | 46.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% | 68.74% |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% | 47.02% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% | 35.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% | 71.93% |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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