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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
39.99% | 25.84% | 34.18% |
Both teams to score 54.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% | 49.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% | 71.72% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% | 24.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% | 58.98% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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