

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United | 
| 66.3% (  0.05) | 20.28% (  0.02) | 13.42% (  -0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 46.46% (  -0.25) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.45% (  -0.24) | 47.54% (  0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.24% (  -0.22) | 69.75% (  0.21) | 
| Oxford United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.53% (  -0.06) | 13.46% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.54% (  -0.12) | 40.46% (  0.11) | 
| Cambridge United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 53.68% (  -0.26) | 46.31% (  0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.04% (  -0.2) | 81.96% (  0.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United | 
| 2-0 @ 12.53% (  0.07) 1-0 @ 12.5% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.38% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 6.45% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.2% (  0) 4-1 @ 3.23% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% (  -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.68% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 66.29% | 1-1 @ 9.62% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 3.71% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.28% | 0-1 @ 4.8% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 3.7% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.42% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
