Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
