UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Inver Park

Larne
3 - 1
Lincoln

Ryan (30' pen., 43' pen., 83')
Gallagher (39'), McEneff (52'), Lynch (54'), Ives (66'), Ferguson (90+1'), Thomson (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lopes (20')
Garcia Montero (42')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Larne and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Larne
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Larne
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Linfield	13	3.25	Cooper
2	Loughgall	6	2.00	Gibson
3	Cliftonville	5	1.25	Curran
4	Coleraine	5	1.25	Shevlin
5	Glentoran	5	1.25	Fisher
6	Carrick	4	1.33	Allen
7	Crusaders	3	1.00	Offord
8	Dungannon	3	0.75	Dillon
9	Glenavon	3	0.75	Doona
10	Portadown	3	1.00	Mayse
11	Ballymena	2	0.50	Kennedy
12	Larne	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
60.4% ( -0.27)	21.19% ( 0.04)	18.41% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 54.89% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.85% (

0.19)

42.15% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

0.19)

64.55% (

-0.19)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.47% (

-0.02)

13.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.41% (

-0.04)

40.59% (

0.04)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.48% (

0.38)

36.52% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

0.37)

73.3% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Larne 60.4%

Lincoln Red Imps 18.41%

Draw 21.19%

Larne	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.4%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.19%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.41%