Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.