New Zealand national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 10, 2025 at 10pm UK
Westpac Stadium
Ukraine national football team

New Zealand
1 - 2
Ukraine

Stamenic (59')
Bell (65'), Bindon (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutsuliak (54'), Zinchenko (75')
Tsygankov (83'), Tymchyk (89'), Yaremchuk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between New Zealand and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
Last Game: New Caledonia 0-3 New Zealand
Monday, March 24 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: New Zealand vs. Ivory Coast
Sunday, June 8 at 12am in International Friendlies

Ukraine

All competitions
Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Canada vs. Ukraine
Saturday, June 7 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw has a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ukraine has a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Ukraine win it is 1-2 (4.61%).

Result
New ZealandDrawUkraine
64.56% (-1.631 -1.63)18.62% (0.648 0.65)16.81% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 60.95% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.24% (-1.24 -1.24)32.75% (1.241 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.56% (-1.446 -1.45)54.44% (1.447 1.45)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.712 -0.71)9.61% (0.712 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.88% (-1.697 -1.7)32.12% (1.696 1.7)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (0.33 0.33)32.57% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (0.366 0.37)69.11% (-0.367 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 64.56%
    Ukraine 16.81%
    Draw 18.62%
New ZealandDrawUkraine
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.33% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.185 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.183 -0.18)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 64.56%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.351 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.61% (0.237 0.24)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 16.81%