Inter Miami
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Montreal Impact

Inter Miami
4 - 2
Montreal

Messi (27', 27', 87', 87'), Suarez (68', 68', 71', 71')
Busquets (42'), Busquets (42'), Segovia (54'), Segovia (54'), Martinez (61'), Martinez (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sealy (74', 74'), Loturi (90+2', 90+2')
Campbell (58'), Campbell (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 25 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

CF Montreal

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 25 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.41%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
58.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.17% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.26% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)34.7% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.35% (-0.064 -0.06)56.65% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)36.95% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.43% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)65.43% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 58.33%
    CF Montreal 21.17%
    Draw 20.5%
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 58.33%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Montreal

Inter Miami
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
CF Montreal
2.8%
36
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
Inter Miami
Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2024 9pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Montreal
Campana (71'), Alba (80')
Redondo (19'), Aviles (49'), Krivtsov (57'), Campana (86'), Allen (90+3')
Alvarez (13'), Coccaro (75'), Sunusi (78')
Vilsaint (63'), Edwards (90+3')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
1-0
Inter Miami
Offor (53')
Waterman (39'), Rea (90+3')

Krivtsov (74')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
2-0
Montreal
Krivtsov (41'), Borgelin (76')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
Montreal
Waterman (85' og.)
Mihailovic (5'), Lappalainen (8'), Kamara (36')
> Preview