Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Gameweek 9 | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2025 at 2.45pm UK
 
China national football team

Indonesia
1 - 0
China

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 1-0 Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 1.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

China

All competitions
Last Game: China 0-2 Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Indonesia win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for China has a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.3%), while for a China win it is 0-1 (5.46%).

Result
IndonesiaDrawChina
62.75% (-0.493 -0.49)21.72% (0.233 0.23)15.53% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 47.22% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.481 -0.48)49.35% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.433 -0.43)71.39% (0.432 0.43)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)15.14% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (-0.601 -0.6)43.72% (0.6 0.6)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (0.064 0.06)44.36% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (0.052 0.05)80.41% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 62.74%
    China 15.53%
    Draw 21.71%
IndonesiaDrawChina
1-0 @ 12.67% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 62.74%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.71%
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.53%

How you voted: Indonesia vs China

Indonesia
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
China
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2024 1pm
Third Round
China
2-1
Indonesia
Behram (21'), Yuning (44')
Wenneng (42')
Haye (86')
Jenner (40'), Idzes (99')
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