Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Fehervar win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.