CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 9, 2024 at 9pm UK
Stade Roger Zami
Suriname national football team

Guadeloupe
1 - 0
Suriname

Leborgne (67')
Phaeton (65'), Saintini (75'), Gravillon (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lonwijk (52'), Montnor (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guadeloupe and Suriname, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guadeloupe
Friday, September 6 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Suriname
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawSuriname
33.01% (-2.606 -2.61)25.65% (-0.147 -0.15)41.34% (2.75 2.75)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.165 0.16)49.16% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (0.15 0.15)71.23% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-1.513 -1.51)28.27% (1.511 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-1.952 -1.95)63.98% (1.949 1.95)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (1.5 1.5)23.58% (-1.502 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (2.123 2.12)57.65% (-2.125 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 33.01%
    Suriname 41.34%
    Draw 25.64%
GuadeloupeDrawSuriname
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.512 -0.51)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.348 0.35)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.328 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.538 0.54)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.332 0.33)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.391 0.39)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.18 0.18)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.187 0.19)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.34%

How you voted: Guadeloupe vs Suriname

Guadeloupe
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Suriname
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Suriname
2-1
Guadeloupe
Phaeton (20')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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