FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels2 - 1Walton & Hersham
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Tonbridge Angels and Walton & Hersham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Walton & Hersham 2-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Walton & Hersham had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Walton & Hersham win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Walton & Hersham |
46.02% ( 0.06) | 23.67% ( -0.01) | 30.31% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.43% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.01) | 41.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.01) | 63.69% ( -0.01) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.03) | 18.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.8% ( 0.05) | 49.2% ( -0.05) |
| Walton & Hersham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.02) | 26.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.81% ( -0.04) | 61.19% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Tonbridge Angels 46.02%
Walton & Hersham 30.31%
Draw 23.67%
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Walton & Hersham |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.31% |
Form Guide
