FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coach and Horses Ground (Dronfield, North East Derbyshire)
Sheffield5 - 0Pontefract Collieries
Watson (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Sheffield and Pontefract Collieries.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pontefract Collieries 3-0 Redcar Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontefract Collieries win with a probability of 54.67%. A win for Sheffield had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontefract Collieries win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Sheffield win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield | Draw | Pontefract Collieries |
24.16% ( 0.01) | 21.17% ( 0) | 54.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.77% ( -0.02) | 34.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( -0.02) | 56.12% ( 0.01) |
| Sheffield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0) | 26.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.01% | 61.98% ( -0) |
| Pontefract Collieries Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( -0.01) | 12.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.18% ( -0.02) | 38.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Sheffield 24.16%
Pontefract Collieries 54.67%
Draw 21.17%
| Sheffield | Draw | Pontefract Collieries |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.16% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.23% 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.4% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 54.67% |
