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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tatnam Stadium

Poole
2 - 0
Swindon Supermarine

Holmes (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Poole Town and Swindon Supermarine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poole Town

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Poole
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Swindon Supermarine

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Poole
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Supermarine win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Poole Town has a probability of 36.76% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Supermarine win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Poole Town win is 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.63%).

Result
Poole TownDrawSwindon Supermarine
36.76% (3.133 3.13) 22.61% (0.406 0.41) 40.62% (-3.541 -3.54)
Both teams to score 66.78% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (-1.305 -1.31)33.94% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.2% (-1.495 -1.5)55.79% (1.492 1.49)
Poole Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.92700000000001 0.93)19.12% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (1.514 1.51)50.75% (-1.516 -1.52)
Swindon Supermarine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-1.912 -1.91)17.42% (1.91 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-3.445 -3.45)47.86% (3.442 3.44)
Score Analysis
    Poole Town 36.76%
    Swindon Supermarine 40.62%
    Draw 22.61%
Poole TownDrawSwindon Supermarine
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.482 0.48)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.513 0.51)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.543 0.54)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.363 0.36)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.207 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.176 0.18)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.316 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.221 0.22)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.489 -0.49)
2-3 @ 4.06% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.62%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Swindon Supermarine
1-1
Poole
Fernandes (64')
Hewlett (35')
rhs 2.0
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