More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Newport
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Derby
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One
Friday, November 18 at 8pm in League One
We said: Newport County 2-1 Derby County
Newport may not have been on the finest form this season, signalled by the change in management and their precarity at the bottom end of League Two. Derby have the better players on paper, with many of their first-teamers having been Championship players up to very recently. However, the Exiles' history in the FA Cup could well drive the team to victory at Rodney Parade. With the help of the experienced Dolan, Willmott and Day in particular, an upset is definitely on the cards this Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 33.01% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Derby County |
39.74% ( 0.93) | 27.25% ( 0.45) | 33.01% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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