Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lancaster City win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Barnoldswick Town had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lancaster City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Barnoldswick Town win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.