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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Bury

Garforth Town
0 - 2
Bury

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Garforth Town and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Garforth Town

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Last Game: Heaton Stannington 2-3 Garforth Town
Wednesday, August 21 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bury

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Avro 1-2 Bury
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Garforth Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Bury had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Garforth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Bury win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Garforth TownDrawBury
43.26% (-0.753 -0.75) 22.54% (-0.489 -0.49) 34.2% (1.24 1.24)
Both teams to score 66.48% (2.335 2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9% (2.866 2.87)34.1% (-2.869 -2.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.02% (3.174 3.17)55.98% (-3.177 -3.18)
Garforth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (0.84999999999999 0.85)16.43% (-0.853 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (1.514 1.51)46.11% (-1.518 -1.52)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (2.003 2)20.44% (-2.005 -2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (3.087 3.09)52.89% (-3.09 -3.09)
Score Analysis
    Garforth Town 43.26%
    Bury 34.2%
    Draw 22.54%
Garforth TownDrawBury
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.744 -0.74)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.499 -0.5)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.252 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.232 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.521 -0.52)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.26 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.33 0.33)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.192 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 4%
Total : 34.2%

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