Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bognor Regis Town win with a probability of 74.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Aylesbury had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bognor Regis Town win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-3 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.21%), while for an Aylesbury win it was 2-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bognor Regis Town would win this match.