Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Maribor
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oulu 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 17 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Honka | 17 | 19 | 34 |
We said: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Maribor
While Maribor will look to mount a memorable comeback, they have struggled to get going in recent weeks, losing each of their last four games across all competitions. We are backing the home side to pick up where they dropped off in the first leg and make use of their home advantage to claim a slender second-leg victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Maribor |
41.02% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( -0) | 35.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
